In the Best Picture category I am undecided about how long I can keep "Flags" in the top five, "Little Miss Sunshine," and "The Good German" could easily replace it, but I'm not ready to take it out just yet. I don't have much confidence in "Bobby" or "The Pursuit of Happyness," the former smells like "Crash," and I hated that film. I love the "Love Boat '68" tag, it seems fitting. I've never taken Will Smith seriously, so he will have to impress me.
In the Best Director race my other favorites are Stephen Soderbergh, Pedro Almodovar and Paul Greengrass, with the later having the less of a chance than the others.
I have a feeling that Leonardo DiCaprio in the "Blood Diamond" will not stand up to his performance in "The Departed," and yet he may still get nominated for it anyway. I really want to put Ryan Gosling in his place.
I don't anticipate much change in the Best Actress category. I think we will have to wait and see who the Academy favors Kate Winslet, Annette Bening or Penelope Cruz.
The supporting categories are always the toughtest for me, either there are too many to choose from (the men, usually) or not enough (the women, usually) and once I make my picks one or two performaces come up totally out of the blue. And don't forget this category frequently has suprises.
All the rest of my picks speak for themselves at this point we'll see how things look at the end of the month.
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